Can Israel open a war against Iran?
Introduction
When Israel launched its ground offensive against Hezbollah groups in Lebanon backed by Iran, Iran launched a massive attack on Tel Aviv with more than 180 missiles, claiming that Israel had killed Hamas leader Haniyeh, Hezbollah leader Nasrallah, and Iranian General Nilforoushan. The Israeli side has said that it will retaliate for these shootings. Considering that Israel is currently preparing to attack Iran, it is unthinkable that if Israel opens a new war front against Iran, it could lead to World War III. But since both sides are powerful countries, whether it could become another front will need to be considered first. So, when considering between Israel and Iran, the military, politics economy It is based on factors such as technology and international relations.
Israel and Iran Military Comparison
Although Israel and Iran are both powerful countries, there are differences. Especially in the military, it is a permanent combat war. Israel’s reserves are smaller than Iran’s. But Israel has more four-pronged attack capability and strength than Iran. At this point, it can be assumed that Israel’s gathering of air force will be more than the gathering of manpower. I consider that the main power of Israel is the United States. Israel’s military operations, technology, air defense We have the ability to do a lot together with the United States for cyber security. However, if you look at Iran, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is a well-known group. After that, Hezbollah and Houthi Rebels can be supported and controlled, so it can be said to be a powerful force in the Middle East. It can be said that China and Russia, which are parallel to the United States, are among Iran’s allied forces.
Israel and Iran Technology and Economy Comparison
Israel is known as a “Start-Up Nation” and technological innovations include cyber security, Industrial knowledge and defense techniques can be produced the highest in human resources and education, and in terms of economy, international trade in Asia, Europe Based on political policies that can be connected with the US, economic policies that are able to respond quickly to changes have been established. Iran is a country that can produce a large amount of oil, and it is a country that is trying hard to be able to produce nuclear energy. Although Iran is not technologically superior to Israel, it is seen that it is trying to launch satellites into space. Another reason is that although Iran can produce a lot of oil, it cannot trade as much as it would like because of international sanctions. Especially the United States and the United Nations have blocked it.
If the reason for the blockade is Iran’s production of uranium for nuclear weapons around 2000, which has become a concern among Western countries, including human rights repression in the region. Hamas, especially with oppression of women. Yemen’s Houthi rebels By supporting Hizbollah and causing military tensions, Iraq, The sanctions because of their friendship with the Syrians have greatly affected business and other commerce.
The annual income of Israel and Iran In terms of GDP per capita, Iran ranks much lower than Israel. However, Israel’s GDP is declining due to attacks by Hamas and Hezbollah, according to the Times of Israel. So, if Israel attacks Iran, the country’s GDP will also decrease.
A comparison of Israel and Iran international relations
If we were to look at the international relations of the two countries, the United States objected to South Africa’s lawsuit at the ICJ, alleging that Israel is committing genocide. It looks like the United States and Israel have a long-standing partnership, and in 2020, they reached agreements with Arab countries such as the UAE and Bahrain (Abraham Accords). And because of economy and technology, it can build partnerships in Europe and Asia, and it is also a member of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), which includes 38 countries. If we look at Iran, Iran has been sanctioned by the United Nations and the United States, and the United States has repeatedly warned it not to participate in the war with Israel and Hezbollah. Iran does not see alliances with democratic countries, Russia, We can see that it is closer to China and North Korea. Arab countries in the Middle East region, It can be seen that there are few problems with countries like Saudi Arabia and UAE in particular.
Overall, Israel has good technical and international support, while Iran has the IRGC and Iraq in the Middle East. We need to understand that we have good links with Syria and other militants. So it is interesting to see what kind of role the United States can play in the midst of this war.
US role between Israel and Iran
If we look again, the United States is a strong supporter of Israel. However, the decisions of the United States are not conducive to peace in the region. support Plans may change depending on the impact of the suppression. If Israel decides to fight, US military support is the most important factor for Israel. So, if there is a war, the United States will provide Israel with weapons and equipment. military support; It can be said that information and technology support. On the Iranian side, the United States may try to impose the strongest sanctions and control movements. In the event of a war, the United States could block Iran’s economic and military forces through cyber and technological means. We can also cooperate with international organizations to increase sanctions. Another factor is direct participation in the military, because the US troops are deployed in the Middle East, either directly or indirectly. You can help Israel either by providing shade or not. However, if the U.S.’s attacks intensify due to military intensification, countries that do not like the U.S. may react internationally, so they may be in a position to work cautiously. Therefore, the war must not be encouraged by the United States.
Conclusion
In conclusion, although Israel has a strong background support, if a large country like Iran were to open a war front, the people of both sides would be the main victims. Iran will not give up easily. Israel has advantages and Iran has advantages. So, even if Israel decides to attack Iran, it will be in a very difficult position. Because the tensions of this war may affect the economy and international peace, the Western allies, including the United States, must urge Israel not to expand its military base, and prevent Iran from firing at Israel. If there is a war between Israel and Iran, it will not only affect those two countries, it will also benefit the allies and other neighboring countries. In particular, it has been reported that it could lead to a third world war.
Written by Saw Mrat Thwee.
